Awaiting the Onslaught, but Flattening the Curve in Ohio

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The Curves here in Ohio.  How many could be sick and when.  More on this below.

These are frightening times, both here in Central Ohio and around the world.  The news and pictures out of Italy are horrid.  As the poet William Blake wrote: “To mercy, pity, peace, and love, We pray in our distress.”  I have said those lines a few times lately.  And the USA now has the most Covid cases in the world.

Philosophically, there is an interesting point here.  HOW REAL IS SOCIETY?   Is society, as a collectivity, as Real as an organism, as a collectivity?  At NatieRel, we believe it is, in many important ways.  Margaret Thatcher, the famous first women Prime Minister of Britain, did not.  Like any good Conservative, she contended,  No ‘Society’! “There are individual men and women and there are families” and that is all.  I say,  ‘It’s like the Virus is running a trial and it seems to be moving through us like a single body.’

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Thomas Hobbes, another famous Brit, felt differently.  Society is a Real Body, a Real Individual Thing!

Here in Ohio we are waiting for the worst of it to come.  LUCKILY, we are blessed with Excellent Local Leadership.  Our Governor and his Chief State Medical Officer have been terrific.  Our state has attempted to get our in front of this epidemic and we are apparently succeeding.  The National Leadership is a different story.  Mr. Trump has many short-comings and currently we are in the midst of all of them.

First, briefly, this is the situation in Ohio, a state of about 12 million.  As of Monday, March 30th we have 1,933 confirmed cases; 475 hospitalizations and 39 Covid deaths.  Unfortunately, only about 30,000 persons have been tested for the disease, so we are told that the real number of cases far exceeds the above figure.  The state is on an official Stay At Home Order.  Schools have been closed for two weeks so far, and likely for the year.  Many businesses have been ordered shut.  We are told that in about 4 weeks —The Peak—we could have 6 to 10 thousand new cases a day, for a while!

 

(Governor DeWine and Dr. Amy “Action”.  For a Republican administration, they have clearly placed the welfare of all Ohioans first and foremast.  “DeWine, Republican for President”, you heard it here first!)

Second, a word about who is creating and delivering the message here in Ohio.  This matters because They Are Believable People.  I am greatly pleased with how our Governor Mike DeWine and his State Health Officer, Dr. Amy Acton, have gotten out in front of this crisis (apparently) and been so effective (apparently).  Each day they have appeared at a televised press conference at about 2 pm and spoken clearly, personally and honestly about their perception of this crisis.  DeWine is a Republican and it is refreshing to hear him emphasize saving lives not making money.

Acton has been the biggest surprise.  Soft spoken, knowledgeable, empathetic, she has attracted a following of her own.  Nicknamed, “Dr. Action”, she has handled the spotlight as calmly as if directing a 6th grade class.  Acton and DeWine have each acted quickly, decisively and in a manner that exudes confidence and scientific understanding.

So, here are THE CURVES and the best I can understand them, latest available 3/27.

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First, it is interesting and scary to see our lives so significantly laid out on an X and Y axis.  The scientific world view is laying down a significant wager, a prediction, and its credibility is “on the line”, two lines.  Already we have charlatans, refusing to accept this scientific prediction, while living their life based on scientific and technological achievements.

The white curve is where epidemiological forecasters at The Cleveland Clinic and The Ohio State University see Ohio now.  This is the rate of infection at our current “mitigated” state.  “Mitagated” meaning “shut down”, “Social Distanced”, tested and quarantined if necessary, way of life.  The yellow curve is how this infectious disease “would have run its course” without mitigation.

It seems a little like ‘armchair quarterbacking’, to sit in our current position and say “Whew, look what we just avoided!”  But they have the data that past viruses ran that course.  The yellow curve shows the whole epidemic lasting about ONE MONTH, and that being March!  We would have been almost ‘OVER’ it!  Except for “sweeping up all the pieces” and they would have been massive and horrendous!

On the yellow curve, the peak would have been around 50,000 new cases A DAY (!) and lasted for only a few days.  What Dr. Acton has repeatedly commented is that Hospital Capacity is currently about 1/6th that amount!  This virus has fairly consistently shown about a 1/4th hospitalization rate of those sick and almost a 1/10th Intensive Care rate!  The ICUs would have been totally overrun, as they are currently overrun in Italy and Spain.

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The Same Curves Again, now to focus on the Mitigated (White) Curve.

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Dr. “Action” likes this curve much better!  The white curve is what we actually are on, not a prediction of what would have been.   It shows a Much Longer but Less Severe outbreak, maybe two months in total length— latter March, through  April and half of May.  Acton said today, the peak will occur latter April to first of May.  At its peak, they are predicting about 10,000 new cases a day, but this peak is longer, maybe a week or more.  This later peak gives us time to build up Hospital Capacity and hold down the gigantic and rapid influx from the yellow curve.  But, hospital capacity is still down about 1/3 to 1/2  what will be needed!  

The “shadow” yellow and white curves in the background are what earlier predictions suggested and what our new data and mitigation efforts are achieving and possibly achieving.  The white curve Could be flattened a little more and the peak smaller and slightly later.  All good, says “Action” Amy.

One huge point has been understated thus far; How Many Ohioans Will Get It?  This has not been discussed much, outright.  Acton has given A Huge Range of Possibility: 40% to 70% will get sick.  Now, it seems to me, that is the Colored Areas Under Each Curve.  That area is not that difficult to figure mathematically, but still beyond me.  It seems, the White Area is noticeably smaller then the Yellow Area.  So, the white curve probably shows something closer to the 40% of Ohioans getting sick; the yellow curve predicting that upwards to 70% of Ohioans would have gotten it!  So, STAY AT HOME, BUCKEYES!

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“O–H–I–O” a thing we do in Ohio, most often in relation to our Ohio State Buckeyes’ Football Team, but now also of general significance.  Ohio can be a pretty good place!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

So today and yesterday, the big news out of Washington D.C. is that nationally the prediction is that from 100 to 200 Thousand Americans might die from this epidemic!  Mr. Trump contends that his administration will have done well if it is kept to 100,000!  I can’t keep myself from really disliking that man!

STAY SAFE EVERYONE, WHERE EVER YOU ARE!!!  And thanks for Reading.  I don’t know if this post has helped you understand this mess, but I feel a little clearer on it.

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Nature Religion Connection
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On Feb. 19, 2020 a record number of people came out to watch the soccer match between Atalanta and Valencia at the San Siro stadium           in Milan, Italy.(Antonio Calanni/AP)  (New York Daily News.)               “Game Zero”: 35% of Spanish team’s players got Corona.  2,500 Spanish fans attended and many took back to Spain the virus.  Bergamo, the city that is home to Atalanta, sent 1/3 of the town to Milan for the game and now has become “the hot spot” for the disease in Italy! 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Politics: Time to Change Course for Dems, Noted Observers Way In

(I told myself when I started this blog, I said, “Self, don’t let this be about Politics.  You are pretty much a politics junky,” I said, “So, don’t go there. Go deeper!”  But desperate times call for desperate measures.  RBG can not last forever!  The passing of John McCain has left a Republican Party with no moral rudder!  Trump has murdered Kurds and attacked a foreign power (Iran)!  And our Dem party candidates are being foolish on the national stage.  Help!  Here is a proposal but forward by two of our most respected Liberal Commentators: Thomas Friedman and E.J. Dione.  It’s probably far fetched, but we need some kind of Knight in Shining Armor, or two, to come a’ridin!   Or “you can kiss the America you grew up in goodbye.” )

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Dems, You Can Defeat Trump in a Landslide

By Thomas Friedman,  NY Times, approximately 2/27

If this election turns out to be just between a self-proclaimed socialist and an undiagnosed sociopath, we will be in a terrible, terrible place as a country. How do we prevent that?

My short answer is that the Democrats have to do something extraordinary — forge a national unity ticket the likes of which they have never forged before. And that’s true even if Democrats nominate someone other than Bernie Sanders.

What would this super ticket look like? Well, I suggest Sanders — and Michael Bloomberg, who seems to be his most viable long-term challenger — lay it out this way:

“I want people to know that if I am the Democratic nominee these will be my Cabinet choices — my team of rivals. I want Amy Klobuchar as my vice president. Her decency, experience and moderation will be greatly appreciated across America and particularly in the Midwest. I want Mike Bloomberg (or Bernie Sanders) as my secretary of the Treasury. Our plans for addressing income inequality are actually not that far apart, and if we can blend them together it will be great for the country and reassure markets. I want Joe Biden as my secretary of state. No one in our party knows the world better or has more credibility with our allies than Joe. I will ask Elizabeth Warren to serve as health and human services secretary. No one could bring more energy and intellect to the task of expanding health care for more Americans than Senator Warren.

“I want Kamala Harris for attorney general. She has the toughness and integrity needed to clean up the corrupt mess Donald Trump has created in our Justice Department. I would like Mayor Pete as homeland security secretary; his intelligence and military background would make him a quick study in that job. I would like Tom Steyer to head a new Cabinet position: secretary of national infrastructure. We’re going to rebuild America, not just build a wall on the border with Mexico. And I am asking Cory Booker, the former mayor of Newark, to become secretary of housing and urban development. Who would bring more passion to the task of revitalizing our inner cities than Cory?…”

If Bernie or Bloomberg or whoever emerges to head the Democratic ticket brings together such a team of rivals, I am confident it will defeat Trump in a landslide. But if progressives think they can win without the moderates — or the moderates without the progressives — they are crazy. And they’d be taking a huge risk with the future of the country by trying.

Veteran political analyst E.J. Dionne, in his valuable new book, “Code Red: How Progressives and Moderates Can Unite to Save Our Country,” got this exactly right: We have no responsible Republican Party anymore. It is a deformed Trump personality cult. If the country is going to be governed responsibly, that leadership can come only from Democrats and disaffected Republicans courageous enough to stand up to Trump. It is crucial, therefore, argues Dionne, that moderate and progressive Democrats find a way to build a governing coalition together.

Neither can defeat the other. Neither can win without the other. Neither can govern without the other.

If they don’t join together — if the Democrats opt for a circular firing squad — you can kiss the America you grew up in goodbye.

Thomas L. Friedman is a New York Times columnist.

I Support a Democratic National Unity Ticket!

We Can Rise To This Occasion!     GregWW

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Thanks to Tom Toles for the use of these cartoons and to NYTimes and T. Friedman for use of article.

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Logo by Marty

Things Are Really This Bad: Global Climate Change and American Politics

(I feel obligated to forward this for your consideration.  For the sake of our planet and our sanity, I thank the NYTimes and Paul Krugman for allowing this use — Times 12/12/2019.  Krugman has always been one of my favorite commentators.  He is the Nobel Prize winner for Economics in 2008 for his modelling of international trade.  This column reads smoothly and quickly.  It is a short, devastating and dire analysis of Climate Change and the American Republican Party.  ‘God save us’, for surely we will not save ourselves, GWW)

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Polar Bear on shrinking ice flow in the Arctic..  Image from the International Monetary Fund blog.

The Party That Ruined the Planet:                Republican climate denial is even scarier than Trumpism.

by Paul Krugman

The most terrifying aspect of the U.S. political drama isn’t the revelation that the president has abused his power for personal gain. If you didn’t see that coming from the day Donald Trump was elected, you weren’t paying attention.

No, the real revelation has been the utter depravity of the Republican Party. Essentially every elected or appointed official in that party has chosen to defend Trump by buying into crazy, debunked conspiracy theories. That is, one of America’s two major parties is beyond redemption; given that, it’s hard to see how democracy can long endure, even if Trump is defeated.

However, the scariest reporting I’ve seen recently has been about science, not politics. A new federal report finds that climate change in the Arctic is accelerating, matching what used to be considered worst-case scenarios. And there are indications that Arctic warming may be turning into a self-reinforcing spiral, as the thawing tundra itself releases vast quantities of greenhouse gases.

Catastrophic sea-level rise, heat waves that make major population centers uninhabitable, and more are now looking more likely than not, and sooner rather than later.

But the terrifying political news and the terrifying climate news are closely related.

Why, after all, has the world failed to take action on climate, and why is it still failing to act even as the danger gets ever more obvious? There are, of course, many culprits; action was never going to be easy.

But one factor stands out above all others: the fanatical opposition of America’s Republicans, who are the world’s only major climate-denialist party. Because of this opposition, the United States hasn’t just failed to provide the kind of leadership that would have been essential to global action, it has become a force against action.

And Republican climate denial is rooted in the same kind of depravity that we’re seeing with regard to Trump.

As I’ve written in the past, climate denial was in many ways the crucible for Trumpism. Long before the cries of “fake news,” Republicans were refusing to accept science that contradicted their prejudices. Long before Republicans began attributing every negative development to the machinations of the “deep state,” they were insisting that global warming was a gigantic hoax perpetrated by a vast global cabal of corrupt scientists.

And long before Trump began weaponizing the power of the presidency for political gain, Republicans were using their political power to harass climate scientists and, where possible, criminalize the practice of science itself.

Perhaps not surprisingly, some of those responsible for these abuses are now ensconced in the Trump administration. Notably, Ken Cuccinelli, who as attorney general of Virginia engaged in a long witch-hunt against the climate scientist Michael Mann, is now at the Department of Homeland Security, where he pushes anti-immigrant policies with, as The Times reports, “little concern for legal restraints.”

But why have Republicans become the party of climate doom? Money is an important part of the answer: In the current cycle Republicans have received 97 percent of political contributions from the coal industry, 88 percent from oil and gas. And this doesn’t even count the wing nut welfare offered by institutions supported by the Koch brothers and other fossil-fuel moguls.

However, I don’t believe that it’s just about the money. My sense is that right-wingers believe, probably correctly, that there’s a sort of halo effect surrounding any form of public action. Once you accept that we need policies to protect the environment, you’re more likely to accept the idea that we should have policies to ensure access to health care, child care, and more. So the government must be prevented from doing anything good, lest it legitimize a broader progressive agenda.

Still, whatever the short-term political incentives, it takes a special kind of depravity to respond to those incentives by denying facts, embracing insane conspiracy theories and putting the very future of civilization at risk.

Unfortunately, that kind of depravity isn’t just present in the modern Republican Party, it has effectively taken over the whole institution. There used to be at least some Republicans with principles; as recently as 2008 Senator John McCain co-sponsored serious climate-change legislation. But those people have either experienced total moral collapse (hello, Senator Graham) or left the party.

The truth is that even now I don’t fully understand how things got this bad. But the reality is clear: Modern Republicans are irredeemable, devoid of principle or shame. And there is, as I said, no reason to believe that this will change even if Trump is defeated next year.

The only way that either American democracy or a livable planet can survive is if the Republican Party as it now exists is effectively dismantled and replaced with something better — maybe with a party that has the same name, but completely different values. This may sound like an impossible dream. But it’s the only hope we have.

 

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Paul Krugman

Dayton, Ohio

(Written several days after the mass shooting in the early morning hours of August 4, 2019, in Dayton, Ohio.  Cartoon added post factum.)

 

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We’re from Dayton!  On Saturday night, a gunman walked the street of a popular entertainment area in Dayton.  In 24 seconds of shooting, he killed 9 people and wounded 26.  In 24 seconds!  How is that possible?  See the picture of the gun below and how it was equipped.

Here at naturereligionconnection, my wife and I both grew up in Dayton and lived there somewhat as adults.  We still have very close friends and family there.  Sunday morning I was already upset by the mass shooting in El Paso, Texas, in which 20 people were killed and 27 wounded.  My wife called, she told me of Dayton; it was like getting punched in the stomach.  Two mass shootings in 13 hours and “We’re from Dayton!”  

Dayton is not a huge city, but it is no small town.  With about 150,000 residents, it is far from its hay day in the early 60’s when it had nearly 300,000.  Its suburbs have continued to grow.

Know as the birthplace of aviation, the Wight brothers lived there and built their first powdered aircraft.  Later it was the headquarters of NCR (National Cash Register), and as a child I remember riding along Patterson Ave. which was lined on both sides with six story red brick building with large windows all filled with machinists building cash registers for the world.   But that was then, and now NCR has moved away and so have all the auto plants.

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Assault Rifle used by Dayton shooter.  It was equipped with a “drum magazine” in which each drum holds 50 rounds and are immediately available for discharge.  As of  yesterday, the exact number of rounds fired was unknown but police estimated he fired several dozen, in 24 seconds!  The El Paso shooter also used an assault rifle.  Each wore bullet-proof vests and noise mufflers on their ears.                                                               NO PRIVATE CITIZEN SHOULD HAVE THE RIGHT TO OWN SUCH A WEAPON! 

When I began to write this blog, I said that it was Not going to include politics, even though my wife and I are very involved in it.  This is an exception!  I will not sit quietly as this carnage continues.  Anti gun-violence has always been a cause of ours, and our yard is often ‘graced’ with various political signs including gun violence signs.  The sign at the top of this blog is now nailed to our tree facing facing the street.

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Some of our signs.

This morning I have already called 3 elected officials, all Republicans, and appealed to their best instincts; well, in 2 of those cases there may be some ‘best instincts’, to the third, I simply threatened to work till I drop to see him defeated unless he do something to limit gun access

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This summer so far, here in Columbus, there have been at least 4 shooting deaths of teens by teens.  In our state, an assault rifle can be purchased by an 18 year-old but that 18 year-old can’t buy a beer!

Yesterday, when I was so frustrated and angered upon hearing of the shooting in Dayton, I tried to call my best friend there to commiserate with him.  He was not available so I left a message expressing my outrage and sadness.  But shortly thereafter, I realized, what if he is Not OK; what if he or his wife is among the dead or injured?  I called right back, for they often frequent that area of dear old Dayton that was so violated, and this time he answered.  As shaken and angry as I, and more so, they were fine and they had been there, to that district, the night before!  Life is too precious and short already, this violence cannot go on.

Some say, “But what can stop it?”  I say, let us do any reasonable thing, any reasonable SIX things, and see if it helps.  Red Flag laws, universal background checks, raising the age for purchase, banning enlarged magazines, ending concealed carry, increased mental health services, required safe storage, BANNING ARs —– anything that limits guns and their abuse.  And even if, after this, the violence is not greatly diminished, at least we will be able to say:  WE ARE NOT A PART OF IT, WE TRIED.

Doing nothing enables more : Help change the cultural climate.

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all signs created by GregWW

Please, Do Something NOW, Help End Gun Violence in America!!!

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Press “Do Something”!!!  Thoughts and Prayers are nothing.  Cartoon from Why Evolution Is True blog,   Source not attributed, but thanks for its use!
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Drawing by Marty

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

What is Morality? Or, is there a difference between being “Responsible” and being “Morally Responsible”?

(—This is an improved version of the original post — “Faithfully Play Their Part in Our Society“, that’s not happening as much as I would like these days.  Too many people are disappointing in this way.  How about you?  Disappointed, morally shaken?  Mass shootings, thinly veiled self-seeking, abuse of position, lack of personal courage: Is this the theme for our times?  It’s a moral failing.  It’s a lack of moral clarity.  What is morality anyway?  Maybe this post will help.  Please comment, I need to hear your thoughts and feelings!)

The Setting

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Mr. Trump being sworn in.  This is an example of morality by its deficit.  He has pledged to serve our best interests but seems to serve his own, first and foremost.

A lot of extremely unfortunate things happen in our world.  They happen to people, and many are perpetrated by people.  We want to know, why?  We want to know, “can anything be done?”  It’s clearly wrong, we feel and think, but who is responsible?  Are they morally responsible?

Dr. J. Coyne uses “responsible” to mean, any series of causes that pass through you; i.e. you simply did the act/event , no ‘right’ or ‘wrong’ attached to it.  He is consistent with his position of “hard determinism” and contends nothing is added of any value by calling a behavior moral or not.  Our behavior just is.  It is determined by causes — from the neurology of your brain to the quantum state of the universe — to be what it is (or was), and there is no alteration of it nor personal control.  

Dr. Coyne is a biologist with the University of Chicago and the author of a blog, “Why Evolution Is True” (WEIT).   His blog has a following of over 20,000 and has some rip-roaring debates about Free Will.  Is Free Will true, or even possible?   Dr. C says “No!”  Everything, in a world best described by science, is caused, and this makes ‘morality’ an illusion.

I have often disagreed with the good doctor on these issues.  I support how we commonly use the word “moral” and “morally responsible”, by and large.

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(The Bible– painting by Van Gogh —and Koran in Islamic calligraphy.  I do not support the often accepted idea that morality has a divine source.  In fact, this post argues for a naturalistic explanation of moral good and evil.)

“Moral” does add significance; it does add an enhanced and legitimate meaning to responsibility, I believe.  Actually, to my mind, “responsible” (the common use of it) often implies a moral sense, so “He is responsible” usually implies blame, or sometimes commendation: “He is morally responsible.”  Coyne’s use — a human act is just another cause and effect in a giant chain of those —  is artificial, an alteration, in my opinion.

Examples

If you are falling down an elevator shaft, it is happening to you (Coyne’s sense) but you are not “responsible” or better “morally responsible” for it.  It is an accident.  The doors opened, you weren’t looking, you stepped in, and the elevator was not there!  Your falling was an accident, but it did definitely happen through you, and to you.  In Coyne’s sense, you will be responsible for the mess at the bottom of the shaft (it’s what’s left of you), and, in the common sense use , we could loosely agree; but we certainly would not say you were morally responsible for it: You wouldn’t be a bad person, nor would we be shaken, disappointed, and even feel undermined by that unfortunate event, though it would certainly be considered horrible luck!

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Sidewalk memorial in Dayton. (photo from Cincinnati Enquirer)

By contrast, Dayton is my home town.  Following the mass shooting there, I felt betrayed and angered.  People should not do that to other people!  Especially in the home town toward which you feel great connection!

Similarly, though less severely, if you are waiting in line at a traffic light and the car behind you doesn’t stop and rear ends you, you then hit the car in front of you; you are “responsible” for hitting it in Coyne’s sense (your car hit the car in front), but not legally responsible nor mortally responsible.  No cop would cite you.  The car that hit you — whether due to drunkenness, distraction, or in the midst of a heart attack — would be legally responsible, and morally responsible if drunk or distracted, but not if having a heart attack.

The Crucial Distinction

We are now getting to the point of the distinction between “responsible” and “morally responsible”.  It is amplified by Coyne’s rather artificial use of the word “responsible”.

“Morally responsible” points more explicitly to the element in these situations that involves Our Trust, Reliance, and Righteous Dependence on other persons to Faithfully Play Their Part in Our Society.  “Morally responsible” tries to ‘get at’ the element of our lives, our social lives, that, as much as we may say and think, is Caused, it is also a situation Agreed UponTo say someone is “morally responsible” implies that They did Not Have To Do It.  They could have reflected upon their life further and in a  better fashion; and thus done otherwise.

There are causes that bring us to live together — we were born this way, we know nothing different, it’s the way modern society (any society) works, people live together! — yet, we take it a step further, We Pledge Ourselves to It; we accept it, and this is the first step in our Reflection upon our self and others.

In many minimal ways, and often wholeheartedly, we state our allegiances to others.  We state who we are: “I am an American; I am a school teacher, …a hockey fan, …an artist, …an Ohioan, …a Democrat, …a good person, …an atheist” . We say these things, and things like them, all the time.  These statements seem to be a mixture of simple fact and a choice, fact and a preference.  Or minimally,  fact and acceptance: as when I acknowledge, “I am a man; I am old; or hypothetically, I am an alcoholic, …a depressed person, …mentally ill.

I can not change the fact that I was born in America, that makes me an American at least in a minimal sense; but I do not have to continue to live here.  It’s a choice, a preference.  I became a school teacher (fact) through a series of choices, but I did not set out in life, early on, saying that is what I wanted to do and march straight down that path.  As a boy, I wanted (and tried) to become a baseball player, then an astronaut (read a number of books on the topic and followed space history avidly).  In the 5th grade, the nuns even had me ‘searching my heart’ to see if I had “a calling to the priesthood”!  Notice how I blame that on “the nuns”, but I can assure you, I was also a ‘willing’ — though young and impressionable — participant, for a while, in that scheme.  So, life is not all preferences and choices either.  It’s choices and facts.

I can not change the fact that I am old, but I can accept it.  This fact becomes Reflected in a conscious awareness of it.  I can, or should, or might, then do something about it.  I should go to the gym more often.  I might get my affairs in order.  I want to eat better.  And similarly, I may be a person with a mental illness, I accept this.  What can I do about it, what might I do, …should I do, …want to do about it?  Acceptance is the minimal position in a moral dilemma; it signifies the awareness of it.  It signifies the shift from something we are — something that is happening to us — to something we Know About.  This is a shift from a causal relationship to a relationship of Reference: I have ‘stepped outside’ the dilemma/the situation and now have Perspective, or Additional Perspective.  I have a point of view on it and some reflective separation from it.

Morality is about what you do and did, but more so it is about your reflection on that, or lack there of.

 

Faithfully Being With Others

Our participation in our social way of life is, generally and very significantly,  Accepted By Us even when it is seemingly and largely Forced Upon Us.  It is as if we have Taken An Oath to our fellows that we will Live Together in the mutually acceptable way.  Often we explicitly take Oaths that we will Do Our Part in relation to others Faithfully.

(Above we have various oaths being taken by people in various situations.  Starting at top left, a doctor swears to serve their patients, immigrants an allegiance to their new country, citizens joining the military of their country,  people swearing to tell the truth at a hearing or in court,  in marriage an oath to be faithful to each other, a President swearing to serve the people of his country and uphold their Constitution. — photos from the public domain)

That is what Morality is based in.  It is our commitment, above and beyond all the causes that have gotten us here, to this life together.  We make a commitment to it.  Our point of view of it, is, minimally, one of acceptance and basic respect. 

And our oath to each other need not be explicitly made.  In common and everyday situations, it is,  as if, we have Taken An Oath to our fellows that we will Live Together in some way, or state, above that of “a war of all against all”, as Thomas Hobbes, the famous philosopher, put it.  It is implicit in what we do and say, that we will behave with an agreed upon modicum of decency toward our fellows.

If you cannot do this, behave in this minimally decent way, options are available, if you can Reflect Upon It!  In fact, in our society, You Have The Obligation To Seek Help, and even to Remove Yourself From Our Company until your affiliation improves! Move to Idaho and live alone in a cabin in the mountains.  Stay in your apartment, if you live in the city, and come out as infrequently as possible.  Seek emotional counselling!  Write a novel or read poetry about your situation.  Join an alternative political party or religious sect.  Even, as a last and somewhat reasonable option, commit suicide.  But, you have No Right to disrespect others and undermine our faith in our togetherness in many of the ways increasingly common today: mass and random murder, the abuse of positions of power or trust, and the lack of courage to speak up for what is right.  That is being wrong, morally.

 

The Background of Morality in Nature, History and Religion

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For people to live together in society, we have come to agree upon some accord, some standards of trust and compatible action.   There is no “social life”, in any positive and functional sense, in “a war of all against all”: Bellum omnium contra omnes (love my Catholic school-boy Latin).    “Disasters of War” etching by Francisco Goya (1810).

The Englishman, Thomas Hobbes, was one of the first (the 1600s) to explore and hypothesize about this idea of an oath to others, a Social Contract or Covenant. Significantly, he contended — and absolutely correctly, we here at naturereligionconnection.org believe — this oath is so important and functional that it establishes a new Level of Organization with new abilities that accompany it.  

It establishes a new creature, contended this originator of social science. We here at NatieRel have called it “the human social organism” (see posts 4 and 5 in Freedom series); Hobbes called it “The Leviathan”That is how closely we are connected!  We function together as a single creature.

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Hobbes’ Leviathan.  The King is the leader by being the “embodiment” of his state as a collective actor, Hobbes argued.  Imagine Donald Trump as the face in this famous illustration, and the citizens of the United States as his embodiment!  “He is Tweeting in my name”, we should rightly feel, and thus so many Americans are very, and Morally, upset by Our current president!

But this image and idea of “a larger embodiment” of individuals is not confined to politics and political philosophy.  It is also exemplified in Nature and its various highly social ways of living for many life forms.  We have flocks, schools, colonies, herds and packs.

(From top left, murmurating starlings, schooling sickleback, colony of army ants, herd of bison and pack of hyenas at bottom right.  None of these biological forms of social living are consciously committed to by their participants.)

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We have “parliaments” of Burrowing Owls

and the Portuguese Man-of-War.

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(The Man-of-War is a siphonophore, like a sea anemone (which also has stinging tentacles).  But, it is actually a Colony of 4 individual animals, called polyps.  Its gas-filled bag is one; it functions is to move ‘the animal’ as a sail.  Three other polyps hang below with individual functions of capturing prey, digest prey (the stomach for all yet its own animal) and reproduction (for all).  It’s a strange arrangement and not yet fully understood!  Photos and diagram thanks to National Geographic)

In religion, of course, participation in a larger embodiment/a larger unity is a prominent

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Originating in the 13th century in Turkey, semazens  may complete as many a 2,000 turns during their sema ceremony.  Each turn is to “honor Allah and chronicle the spiritual path to enlightenment” and results in a trance-like state.  Quote from Viking Ocean Cruises advertisement!

theme.  Ecstatic and mystical forms of religion often involve the participant in forms of consciousness and ritual characterized by loss of individual self.  The Whirling Dervish of Sufi Islam, the Kabbalah of Judaism, and the tradition of “speaking in tongues” of Pentecostal Christians, all are examples.   Even in the more institutional and dogma based religions, images and beliefs of a larger unity occur.  

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The tradition of “the mystical body of Christ”,  mystici corporis christi, is prominent in The Bible and one of the favorite themes of Saul of Tarsus.  From my Catholic school days, I still remember a piece of art with the exact theme of Hobbes’ Leviathan except instead of the King as embodied by his subjects it was Jesus embodied by his followers:  the Catholic Church as the Corpus Christi.

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Ironically, when I first published this post, I did not explicitly consider the use of “God” in oath-taking.  An oath is a “solemn vow”and has generally invoked a deity, as witness, guarantor, retributive agency.  This theme may generate an additional post.

 

Going Beyond Biology and Religion

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Kandinsky’s first abstract painting.  “Study for Composition VII”, (1913)

The human way of being together, starts with biology but goes beyond it.  Social animals are social via the evolution of their physical traits.  But, as with some other large-brained animals, in humans a new form (or organization, or design) of sociability began to emerge: Culture.   Humans are now most pointedly social, by being cultural.  Beyond our living in close proximity and our division of economic labor, we share thoughts!  A brain is an individual thing, but a Mind is connected brains working together within a cultural system.

“Memes” ‘infect’ our brains.*  We have language, the predominant form of meme.  We pass on our memes/thoughts.  We socialize our children (see post four in Freedom series-“Persons in the Human Social Organism”).  We discuss our thoughts, reflect upon them.  All this is somewhat like programming a computer, except here, we — the computers — are reviewing and revising our own program!

A malcontent, or one suffering from mental illness, often has opportunity to review their thinking; usually, they have a variety of influences upon them.  This provides Choice, Options.  Those close to them also have moral responsibility to the the ill or depraved person, to themselves, and to their society.  This is modern morality, the shared responsibility for our togetherness.

Individually, this process of review and revision is what we call, our personal history; but writ large — socially — it is Human History.  Thankfully, this process has brought us to Democracy and the social safety net provided by most democratic governments.  Currently, democracy is the most moral form of political organization but others are imaginable.**  In this way, we have developed the basic interpersonal, agreed upon, respect that characterizes “us” — our society — and distinguishes us from “them” — social ways of life foreign to us.  Ancient autocracies like those in Egypt and the Roman Empire, even modern drug and gang states that exist in Central America, are examples of living together without our kind of accord and characterized by fear, domination and manipulation.  Slavery is another such example.   The frequent and arbitrary outbursts of mass violence in America today extinguishes trust and civility, the Moral Basis that underlies “our” kind of modern society, at its best.  We are deeply shaken by it, for it strikes at the roots of our moral togetherness.  We no longer share thoughts, we receive bullets. 

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A Final Example of the Difference Between “Responsibility” and “Moral Responsibility”, and A Holistic Perspective.

The general background for this position on morality involves, also, a very curious argument that some respected philosophers have currently advocated.  They contend that most of the things we believe must be true.  Most of the things we say must be honest.  A curious contention, but think about it; how would our lives and social lives be possible if they were not overwhelmingly true and real, our statements basically honest? Our consciousness would have no wheels that got traction; our togetherness  no gears that meshed into other gears.  It would all be spinning wheels — illusions — and manipulative or defensive interactions.   No opportunity for the large scale cultural progress that have characterized our history.

It’s a holistic argument.  Like wooden-ship sailors, who could replace a leaking plank or

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Viking Long Boat

two in the hull while at sea, but they couldn’t replace them all at once!  We can tell some lies and sometimes violate our trust of others.  We can have some mistakes in our belief system.   In each case, we can revise our beliefs piecemeal and catch the few lies told in a democratic society, but there is no Reasonable Way to change all your beliefs at once, nor have a democracy fundamentally deceitful.***

Does that make sense to you?

 

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“All is One”, it is sometimes said.  The Sacred Art of the Sand Mandala as practiced at the  Cooper Beech Institute in Connecticut.  Photo from their site.

 

Salesmanship is the final example.  It is not a very exciting example of human togetherness but telling nonetheless.  If a salesperson sells you a product that will do the job you want, if they do not lie about their product’s abilities, if they do not hide some significant defect, and if they allow you to make the decision to buy without undo pressure, that is moral salesperson-ship. 

Of course, we all know that the caveat, “buyer beware”— caveat emptor — applies; the buyer also has moral responsibilities to look out for themselves.  Each knows that the other’s interests are not completely symmetric with their own.  Each knows that the other is “under pressure”, but not caused, to make some transaction.  It is out of the independence of the two, buyer and seller, that their eventual moral interaction raises them to a new level of enhanced functioning.  They both benefit.  Each comes away with more than they would have separatelyIt is a win-win.  

Morality is the affirmation, or betrayal, of our trust in other persons.  It is the basis for the interaction of persons at their higher level of existence.

(Complex human interactions based on shared ideas and trust.  This is moral responsibility and activity.  From the operating room to the football field, from the organized flow of traffic to the stock market, from the classroom to voting, all are based on a foundation of trust—though with sanctions and penalties to re-enforce it.)

 

Morality

Most of us feel, and sometimes think, deeply about morality.  Our trust has been shaken by current events.  Can we live together?  Can we act in unison, and pledge ourselves to this?  Yes, we can and must!  Morally responsible action is the basis of our human life at its most rewarding level: we must struggle to maintain it.  

I hope this post helped clarify the Fact of Morality and bolster your preference for itYour reflection is necessary.  Today, a discussion exists; today the character of morality hangs in the balance, as it has at other times in our history.  Act now.  Human trust is worth the struggle.

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Diego Rivera’s Detroit Industry Murals (1932) depict life at the complex level of concerted action                                                       by socialized human beings.                                                                                       “Social unrest was in the air. On March 7 1932, the Ford Hunger March took place, during which laid-off and wage-slashed factory workers clashed with anti-union enforcers hired by Henry Ford. Four marchers were killed, while 60,000 people later took part in their funeral procession.”  It was that year, in the midst of the Great Depression, that muralist and communist, Diego Rivera and his new wife — Frida Kalho, came to town commissioned to paint by Edsel Ford, Henry’s maverick son!  And paint they did, producing what Rivera felt was his greatest work, “Detroit Industry”, detail above.  Thanks to “The Conversation” blog for quote and detail.
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A very infectious meme, in 1932, and another form of cultural and historical based action.

(An estimated 4,000 workers rallied and marched for jobs and increased wages in Detroit on this cold day in March.  At the Dearborn city line, police fired tear gas and bullets.  Marchers scattered but then regrouped and pushed forward, throwing rocks and bottles, one mile into Dearborn heading for Ford’s largest auto plant.  From an overpass, police sprayed fire hoses on the cold and advancing workers.  Ford ‘security’ forces fired bullets.  22 were wounded by gunfire, 4 killed.  The march was then abandoned.)

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Here is a meme I’m promoting.  Help secure our trust in moral interaction: Ban ARs!

*For presentation on Memes, see D. Dennett, From Bacteria to Bach and Back, chapters 10-11.  The concept of Meme is a cross between concepts of a Thought, a Gene and a Virus.  It allows Dennett to discuss Cultural Evolution and its changes of intellectual themes with great latitude.  By contrast, Hard Determinism has virtually no ability to discuss the complexity, marvel and effectiveness of our intellectual lives except in vague platitudes about ‘adaptions to environments’ and ‘future neural discoveries’.

**Plato argued, with some plausibility, for a government by Philosopher-King.  In general, the theme being explored here is that the origin of morality is closely associated to the origin of language.  Both of these are then connected to the beginnings of Reflective Thought.  Themes to be tackled in the future (Oh joy!?).

***There is a strange movie about a man who has no memory, long term (?) or short.  He is totally freaked out, and, of course being a movie, determined to find out What happened, but also, Who did this to him!  He has few lasting ‘connections’ to who he is and what he is trying to do.  So, he takes a lot of notes, for himself, including tattooing some really important info on his body!  “Memento” released in 2000.                              Nor is there a reasonable way to think that all, or most, of our beliefs are wrong.  To think that consciousness is illusion, gives us no avenue to consciously come up with that idea.  The argument undermines itself.

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Detail of Detroit Industry Mural by Diego Rivera.

        “This is modern morality, the shared responsibility for our togetherness.”

 

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Logo drawing by Marty